── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cameron Norrie
Roberto Bautista Agut
73%27%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Cameron Norrie
78th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#39
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Cameron Norrie■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–1
Grass1–0
Clay2–0
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardR32Cameron Norrie7-6(3) 6-1
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Roberto Bautista Agut6-4 6-3
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Cameron Norrie6-3 3-6 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-04-15BarcelonaClayR16Cameron Norrie6-4 6-3
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersHardR32Cameron Norrie6-4 5-7 6-3
2018-02-02Davis Cup WG R1: GBR vs ESPClayRRCameron Norrie4-6 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2