── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Daniil Medvedev
28%72%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
RUS
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–4
Clay1–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Cameron Norrie | 7-5 6-3 4-6 1-6 7-5 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2022-08-01 | Los Cabos | Hard | F | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 6-0 |
| 2019-10-07 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-1 |