── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cameron Norrie
Mackenzie Mcdonald
76%24%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 93% / 7%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cameron NorrieMackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard40
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Cameron Norrie6-2 6-3
2019-02-25AcapulcoHardQFCameron Norrie6-3 6-2
2017-11-13Champaign CHHardQFCameron Norrie6-2 6-0
2017-09-11Cary CHHardQFCameron Norrie6-1 6-3