── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cameron Norrie
Nicolas Jarry
75%25%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
CHI
188cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cameron NorrieNicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Clay10
Hard01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR16Cameron Norrie6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(7) 6-7(5) 6-3
2019-05-13Rome MastersClayQ2Cameron Norrie6-3 4-6 7-6(6)
2018-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Nicolas Jarry7-6(3) 6-2