── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cameron Norrie 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Lorenzo Sonego
67%33%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Metz | Hard | SF | Cameron Norrie | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-12-30 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Cameron Norrie | 6-2 4-6 6-1 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Cameron Norrie | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2019-04-15 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-2 7-5 |