── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cameron Norrie a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Denis Shapovalov
52%48%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Return
Cameron Norrie
77th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#49
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
GBR
country
CAN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Los Cabos | Hard | SF | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 5-7 6-4 |
| 2021-09-27 | San Diego | Hard | QF | Cameron Norrie | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2021-06-14 | Queen's Club | Grass | SF | Cameron Norrie | 7-5 6-3 |