── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cameron Norrie 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
73%27%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Cameron Norrie
78th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Cameron Norrie | 7-6(5) 6-4 |