── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cameron Norrie 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Alexei Popyrin
64%36%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#75
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | Clay | QF | Cameron Norrie | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2019-07-22 | Atlanta | Hard | QF | Cameron Norrie | 7-5 6-4 |