── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Sebastian Korda
35%65%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Return
Cameron Norrie
78th · strong
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#14
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Sebastian Korda
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Cameron Norrie | 7-5 6-4 RET |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | Grass | QF | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 7-6(1) |
| 2022-02-14 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Cameron Norrie | 6-2 1-6 7-6(4) |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 6-0 6-4 |
| 2021-01-04 | Delray Beach | Hard | SF | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 7-5 |