── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cameron Norrie
Thiago Agustin Tirante
59%41%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#53
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cameron NorrieThiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Thiago Agustin Tirante6-3 7-5
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR32Cameron Norrie7-5 7-6(5)