── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cameron Norrie 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Sebastian Baez
65%35%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#36
model rank
#77
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
188cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Cameron Norrie | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-05-22 | Lyon | Clay | QF | Cameron Norrie | 6-2 2-6 6-1 |
| 2022-05-16 | Lyon | Clay | QF | Cameron Norrie | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |