── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cameron Norrie
Brandon Nakashima
53%47%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 48% / 52%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cameron NorrieBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard22
Grass10
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR16Brandon Nakashima7-6(3) 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersHardR64Cameron Norrie6-4 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneGrassR16Cameron Norrie6-4 6-2
2021-07-19Los CabosHardFCameron Norrie6-2 6-2
2020-02-17Delray BeachHardR16Brandon Nakashima7-5 6-2