── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cameron Norrie
Lorenzo Musetti
37%63%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cameron NorrieLorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay02
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR32Cameron Norrie3-6 6-2 6-3
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayR32Lorenzo Musetti6-1 6-2 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaClayR16Lorenzo Musetti3-6 6-4 6-1