── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cameron Norrie
Jacob Fearnley
82%18%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#36
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
GBR
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cameron NorrieJacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR32Cameron Norrie6-3 7-6(1) 6-2