── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cameron Norrie 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cameron Norrie
Luca Van Assche
59%41%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Return
Cameron Norrie
77th · strong
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#38
model rank
#68
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
GBR
country
FRA
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cameron Norrie■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Luca Van Assche | 6-7(6) 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-11-04 | Metz | Hard | R16 | Cameron Norrie | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |
| 2024-10-07 | Roanne CH | Hard | QF | Luca Van Assche | 1-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-01-08 | Auckland | Hard | R16 | Cameron Norrie | 6-3 6-7(6) 6-1 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Cameron Norrie | 7-6(3) 6-0 6-3 |