── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tristan Schoolkate 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marc Polmans
Tristan Schoolkate
30%70%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marc Polmans
2th · poor
Tristan Schoolkate
39th · below avg
Return
Marc Polmans
4th · poor
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#186
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marc Polmans■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Mexico City CH | Clay | R16 | Tristan Schoolkate | 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2024-07-15 | Newport | Grass | Q2 | Marc Polmans | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024-04-01 | Mexico City CH | Clay | R32 | Marc Polmans | 6-3 2-6 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | M25 Canberra | Clay | SF | Marc Polmans | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |