── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Novak Djokovic 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Botic Van De Zandschulp
Novak Djokovic
11%89%
Hard: 10% / 90%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 2% / 98%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#62
model rank
#3
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
SRB
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Botic Van De ZandschulpNovak Djokovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR32Novak Djokovic6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersHardR64Botic Van De Zandschulp6-2 3-6 6-1
2022-10-03AstanaHardR16Novak Djokovic6-3 6-1