── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Daniil Medvedev
28%72%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
47th · average
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#48
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
RUS
191cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2023-02-13 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-08-30 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5 |