── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Botic Van De Zandschulp 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Botic Van De Zandschulp
Nicolas Jarry
66%34%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#62
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
CHI
191cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Botic Van De ZandschulpNicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelClayR32Botic Van De Zandschulp6-4 4-6 6-3