── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Botic Van De Zandschulp 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Botic Van De Zandschulp
Nicolas Jarry
71%29%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#48
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
CHI
191cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelClayR32Botic Van De Zandschulp6-4 4-6 6-3