── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Alexander Bublik
40%60%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#48
model rank
#28
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
KAZ
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-07-21 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | SF | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 3-6 6-4 4-0 RET |
| 2022-09-13 | Davis Cup Finals RR: KAZ vs NED | Hard | RR | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |