── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Tommy Paul
34%66%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Tommy Paul
81th · strong
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#48
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
USA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Queen's Club | Grass | R16 | Tommy Paul | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2023-09-14 | Davis Cup Finals RR: NED vs USA | Hard | RR | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 7-6(2) 6-2 |