── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Botic Van De Zandschulp a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Botic Van De Zandschulp
Denis Shapovalov
51%49%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#62
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NED
country
CAN
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Botic Van De ZandschulpDenis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Botic Van De Zandschulp7-5 6-3
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Botic Van De Zandschulp6-4 7-5 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Denis Shapovalov6-1 6-4