── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Matteo Arnaldi
48%52%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#62
model rank
#54
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-11-23 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs NED | Hard | RR | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(7) |