── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Botic Van De Zandschulp
Daniel Merida Aguilar
42%58%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
47th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#48
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ESP
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-08ShanghaiHardR128Botic Van De Zandschulp1-6 6-3 6-4