── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Joao Fonseca 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Botic Van De Zandschulp
Joao Fonseca
24%76%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#62
model rank
#10
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
BRA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Botic Van De ZandschulpJoao Fonseca
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13BrusselsHardR32Botic Van De Zandschulp7-5 7-6(2)
2024-09-12Davis Cup Finals RR: NED vs BRAHardRRJoao Fonseca6-4 7-6(3)