── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Joao Fonseca
34%66%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
47th · average
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#48
model rank
#15
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
BRA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 7-6(2) |
| 2025-10-13 | Brussels | Hard | R32 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 7-5 7-6(2) |
| 2024-09-12 | Davis Cup Finals RR: NED vs BRA | Hard | RR | Joao Fonseca | 6-4 7-6(3) |