── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Bublik
Richard Gasquet
81%19%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Richard Gasquet
36th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Richard Gasquet
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#24
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander BublikRichard Gasquet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-10MarseilleHardR32Alexander Bublik6-4 6-4