── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Richard Gasquet
79%21%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Richard Gasquet
36th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Richard Gasquet
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#139
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Richard Gasquet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings