── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Adrian Mannarino
74%26%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#106
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings