── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Jan Lennard Struff
75%25%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#102
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
GER
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Jan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–3
Hard2–2
Grass1–0
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Jan Lennard Struff | 7-5 6-7(6) 6-4 7-5 |
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(2) 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-06-19 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-7(4) 6-3 |
| 2023-03-13 | Phoenix CH | Hard | QF | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
| 2021-10-25 | St. Petersburg | Hard | R16 | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2018-04-23 | Budapest | Clay | R16 | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-1 6-4 |