── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Marcos Giron
75%25%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Marcos Giron
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
USA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | SF | Alexander Bublik | 3-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-09-20 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Marcos Giron | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2023-05-22 | Geneva | Clay | R32 | Marcos Giron | 6-0 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Marcos Giron | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 3-6 6-3 7-6(5) |