── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Thanasi Kokkinakis
84%16%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Thanasi Kokkinakis
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#164
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
AUS
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Alexander Bublik | 4-6 6-3 6-7(10) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-02-26 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 6-4 6-3 |