── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Botic Van De Zandschulp
67%33%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#62
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
NED
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-07-21 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | SF | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 3-6 6-4 4-0 RET |
| 2022-09-13 | Davis Cup Finals RR: KAZ vs NED | Hard | RR | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |