── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Bublik
Roman Safiullin
72%28%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Roman Safiullin
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#24
model rank
#86
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
RUS
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander BublikRoman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR128Alexander Bublik6-3 7-6(4)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR64Roman Safiullin6-4 6-2