── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Taylor Fritz
37%63%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Taylor Fritz
98th · elite
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Taylor Fritz
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#9
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
USA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Taylor Fritz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–3
Hard4–1
Clay0–1
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(1) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-09-15 | Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs KAZ | Hard | RR | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(6) 1-6 6-3 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | Grass | QF | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-01-13 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2019-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |