── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Bublik
Alejandro Tabilo
54%46%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#24
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
KAZ
country
CHI
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexander BublikAlejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20ViennaHardR32Alexander Bublik6-4 6-4