── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Arthur Rinderknech
59%41%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#44
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard0–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | QF | Alexander Bublik | 5-7 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Alexander Bublik | 6-2 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-02-14 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-7(5) 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-11-08 | Stockholm | Hard | R32 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-1 2-0 RET |