── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Aleksandar Vukic
85%15%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
AUS
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Phoenix CH | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-06-24 | Eastbourne | Grass | R16 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-20 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R32 | Aleksandar Vukic | 7-6(5) 6-2 |