── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Hubert Hurkacz
67%33%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
POL
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–5
Grass0–1
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-7(2) 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 7-6(2) |
| 2023-02-20 | Marseille | Hard | SF | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(8) 4-6 6-3 |
| 2022-10-03 | Astana | Hard | R16 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-02-21 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-4 6-2 |
| 2020-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-2 7-5 |