── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Tallon Griekspoor
67%33%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
82th · strong
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
NED
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2024-02-26 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(8) 7-6(2) |
| 2022-10-03 | Astana | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-0 4-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-31 | Montpellier | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(4) 7-6(5) |
| 2020-03-06 | Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NED | Hard | RR | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(4) 7-6(4) |