── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Bublik
Alex Molcan
66%34%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Alex Molcan
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#69
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
KAZ
country
SVK
196cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Bublik■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-23KitzbuhelClayQFAlexander Bublik6-3 6-2
2026-04-13MunichClayR32Alex Molcan6-4 6-2