── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
67%33%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#72
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
ARG
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | SF | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2025-05-13 | Turin CH | Clay | QF | Alexander Bublik | 6-2 3-6 7-5 |