── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Corentin Moutet
73%27%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-03-11 | Phoenix CH | Hard | QF | Alexander Bublik | 2-6 7-6(4) 7-5 |
| 2022-10-10 | Florence | Hard | R16 | Alexander Bublik | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2017-11-06 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif CH | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-3 |