── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Jenson Brooksby
70%30%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Jenson Brooksby
27th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Jenson Brooksby
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#86
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
USA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Jenson Brooksby
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Jenson Brooksby | 6-2 6-3 |