── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Bublik
Facundo Diaz Acosta
69%31%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 95% / 5%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Facundo Diaz Acosta
48th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Facundo Diaz Acosta
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#78
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
KAZ
country
ARG
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Bublik■ Facundo Diaz Acosta
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-22KitzbuhelClayR16Alexander Bublik6-3 7-5