── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Tomas Machac
64%36%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#64
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
CZE
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | QF | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2024-02-26 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Alexander Bublik | 2-6 6-3 7-6(5) |