── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Kyrian Jacquet
70%30%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Kyrian Jacquet
40th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Kyrian Jacquet
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Kyrian Jacquet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-4 7-6(5) |