── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Valentin Royer
78%22%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | F | Alexander Bublik | 7-6(4) 7-6(4) |