── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexander Bublik
Arthur Cazaux
65%35%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Arthur Cazaux
74th · strong
Return
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Arthur Cazaux
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#30
model rank
#67
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
FRA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexander Bublik■ Arthur Cazaux
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelClayFAlexander Bublik6-4 6-3
2025-07-14GstaadClaySFAlexander Bublik6-1 7-5
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR64Alexander Bublik6-4 7-6(1) 6-4