── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Tristan Schoolkate
85%15%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Return
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#154
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
KAZ
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 6-3 6-3 |