── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexander Bublik
Juncheng Shang
78%22%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#30
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
KAZ
country
CHN
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexander Bublik■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | QF | Alexander Bublik | 6-1 7-6(2) |
| 2024-09-18 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Juncheng Shang | 6-4 7-6(8) |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Juncheng Shang | 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 6-4 6-1 |