── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pavel Kotov 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Elahi Galan
Pavel Kotov
39%61%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Elahi Galan
17th · poor
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Return
Daniel Elahi Galan
13th · poor
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#178
model rank
#140
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
COL
country
RUS
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniel Elahi Galan■ Pavel Kotov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-27Bonn CHClayR32Daniel Elahi Galan6-4 6-4
2023-09-20ChengduHardR32Pavel Kotov7-5 7-5